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		<title>4 Trends for 3PLs in 2022</title>
		<link>https://cargonewstoday.com/4-trends-for-3pls-in-2022/</link>
		
		<dc:creator><![CDATA[admin]]></dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Fri, 01 Apr 2022 10:15:04 +0000</pubDate>
				<category><![CDATA[Cargo]]></category>
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					<description><![CDATA[<p>Order volumes grew for 79% of third-party logistics (3PL) providers in 2021, but that growth was tempered by inventory availability and disruptions that cost the U.S. economy $228 billion, says&#8230;</p>
<p>The post <a rel="nofollow" href="https://cargonewstoday.com/4-trends-for-3pls-in-2022/">4 Trends for 3PLs in 2022</a> appeared first on <a rel="nofollow" href="https://cargonewstoday.com">Cargo News Today</a>.</p>
]]></description>
										<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Order volumes grew for 79% of third-party logistics (3PL) providers in 2021, but that growth was tempered by inventory availability and disruptions that cost the U.S. economy $228 billion, says a report from 3PL Central.</p>
<p>Disruptions, technology innovations, and consumer demands will persist in 2022. These are the four key trends impacting 3PLs in the coming year, the report says:</p>
<p><strong>1. Supply chain disruptions</strong> will continue to plague the industry through much of 2022, creating more pressure for 3PLs to provide strategic insight into inventory and risk management and provide greater demand planning sophistication.</p>
<p><strong>2. Omnichannel fulfillment</strong> will become even more prominent as companies seek to expand sales channels and leverage the same inventory to fulfill across all channels, pivoting to support where demand is highest.</p>
<p><strong>3. 3PLs and 4PLs</strong> will need to collaborate with other warehouses to create integrated ecosystems that support the level of sophistication in today&#8217;s supply chain.</p>
<p><strong>4. Technology is transforming rapidly</strong>, with companies shifting to more highly adaptable cloud-based software that leverages fulfillment innovations and integrates with the broader logistics ecosystem.</p>
<p>Source: www.inboundlogistics.com</p>
<p>Image: www.pixabay.com</p>
<p>The post <a rel="nofollow" href="https://cargonewstoday.com/4-trends-for-3pls-in-2022/">4 Trends for 3PLs in 2022</a> appeared first on <a rel="nofollow" href="https://cargonewstoday.com">Cargo News Today</a>.</p>
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		<title>Air cargo rates to stay high as challenges remain</title>
		<link>https://cargonewstoday.com/air-cargo-rates-to-stay-high-as-challenges-remain/</link>
		
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		<pubDate>Thu, 03 Feb 2022 16:03:41 +0000</pubDate>
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		<guid isPermaLink="false">https://cargoworldtoday.com/?p=24578</guid>

					<description><![CDATA[<p>Strong air cargo rates are set to continue but capacity and ground handling challenges will continue. This was the takeaway from the World Cargo Summit’s Air Cargo Market Update &#38;&#8230;</p>
<p>The post <a rel="nofollow" href="https://cargonewstoday.com/air-cargo-rates-to-stay-high-as-challenges-remain/">Air cargo rates to stay high as challenges remain</a> appeared first on <a rel="nofollow" href="https://cargonewstoday.com">Cargo News Today</a>.</p>
]]></description>
										<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Strong air cargo rates are set to continue but capacity and ground handling challenges will continue.</p>
<p>This was the takeaway from the World Cargo Summit’s Air Cargo Market Update &amp; Outlook, which focused on the market outlook for 2022 and beyond, hot spots for growth and the outlook for cargo charters.</p>
<p>Niall van de Wouw, managing director at CLIVE Data Services, said the company’s data comparing the fourth quarter of 2021 to the same period in 2019 showed that rates continued to increase on a global level, on average two and half times as high as pre-Covid.</p>
<p>It became tougher to move goods because of the challenges ground handling staff faced in loading/unloading/preighters. This led to congestion, which affected throughput.</p>
<p>“The difficulty in getting goods from A to B pushed up the rates to unprecedented levels.”</p>
<p>In the first two weeks of January 2022 compared to the same period in 2021 rates were up more than 40%.</p>
<p>“Looking ahead we currently see no fundamental changes in the dynamics that are causing these rates to be at these levels that we expect any easing soon.”</p>
<p>Abel Alemu, managing director, Ethiopian Cargo &amp; Logistics Services, added that Covid-related labour shortages and quarantine restrictions “will keep capacity tighter for longer” and this may result in “persistently elevated airfreight rates”.</p>
<p>He added that reduced bellyhold capacity will also contribute to this “upwards pressure on airfreight rates”.</p>
<p>The industry stakeholders agreed that due to full order books for freighters, capacity remains in demand.</p>
<p>Reto Hunziker, group cargo director for charter broker Chapman Freeborn said the company has managed this by using in-house own control capacity including Bluebird Nordic 737s and Magma Aviation 747s, plus third-party carriers. He said that zero LOPA configuration aircraft also helped.</p>
<p>Konstantin Vekshin, chief executive officer of  Volga-Dnepr Group said the company resumed its Antonov 124-100 operations in 2021, but the fleet of 12’s estimated lifespan of 10-12 years is a concern. “It is a very unique piece of equipment and there is no replacement for it.”</p>
<p>Ethiopian Airlines Group is working with Israel Aerospace Industries (IAI) to launch a B767-300ER freighter conversion line in Ethiopia. Alemu confirmed Ethiopian Cargo also currently has 20 preighters.</p>
<p>Ground handling support with regards to staff shortages and restrictions is a major concern.</p>
<p>Alemu pointed out some airports in Europe have said they will not handle preighters, while US ground handlers also have restrictions.</p>
<p>Hunziker said Chapman Freeborn has faced cancelled flights and delayed cargo clearance from airports of up to five days. “We have very big challenges with preighters especially out of China and Kong Kong both into Europe and the US.” As a result, there has been a shift to Vietnam and Korea, where the company operates preighters long term.</p>
<p>Vekshin added that Volga-Dnepr will await China’s legislation this year following the country’s ban on preighters. “If they’re sticking to their plans that maybe a game changer for the industry, at least for 2022…as it will affect all of us.”</p>
<p>Pharmaceuticals, PPE and e-commerce demand are set to continue to be strong drivers for the air cargo industry, according to Hunziker and Alemu.</p>
<p>Alemu said in the second half of 2021 major trade lanes were China-Europe, China-Latin America and South East Asia–US. The company saw major growth in South East Asia and recorded the largest expansion in Latin America.</p>
<p>Hunziker said growth was recorded worldwide in 2021 with China the driver for this.</p>
<p>Van de Wouw said US growth was up 30% in 2021 compared to 2020 when it was hit hard by Covid. APAC growth remained high in 2020 because of PPE trade, so 2021’s growth was not high.</p>
<p>He explained the Europe to US market is much stronger than from the US to Europe, adding Asia Pacific into the US “dwarfs” the market from the US to APAC.</p>
<p>While continued ocean freight congestion and reduced belly capacity is driving air cargo demand, the industry has no control over these factors, so uncertainty over the sustainability of growth remains, said van de Wouw.</p>
<p>He thinks as passenger demand returns “things will get worse” initially as there will be less room for cargo and pressure for capacity, until flight frequency increases but he doesn’t “see that happening anytime soon”.</p>
<p>Source: www.aircargonews.com</p>
<p>Image: www.pexels.com</p>
<p>The post <a rel="nofollow" href="https://cargonewstoday.com/air-cargo-rates-to-stay-high-as-challenges-remain/">Air cargo rates to stay high as challenges remain</a> appeared first on <a rel="nofollow" href="https://cargonewstoday.com">Cargo News Today</a>.</p>
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		<title>Outlook 2022: Another challenging year for air cargo</title>
		<link>https://cargonewstoday.com/outlook-2022-another-challenging-year-for-air-cargo/</link>
		
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		<pubDate>Thu, 03 Feb 2022 15:44:11 +0000</pubDate>
				<category><![CDATA[Cargo]]></category>
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		<guid isPermaLink="false">https://cargoworldtoday.com/?p=24630</guid>

					<description><![CDATA[<p>With 2022 off to a busy start, Air Cargo News caught up with a range of companies to find out what their expectations are for the coming 11 months. Damian&#8230;</p>
<p>The post <a rel="nofollow" href="https://cargonewstoday.com/outlook-2022-another-challenging-year-for-air-cargo/">Outlook 2022: Another challenging year for air cargo</a> appeared first on <a rel="nofollow" href="https://cargonewstoday.com">Cargo News Today</a>.</p>
]]></description>
										<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p><strong>With 2022 off to a busy start, <em>Air Cargo News</em> caught up with a range of companies to find out what their expectations are for the coming 11 months. Damian Brett reports.</strong></p>
<p>Around September last year, the air cargo industry was tentatively hoping that the market could be setting out on the road to normality.</p>
<p>Major economies were slowly opening up as Covid case numbers were showing signs of easing and passenger operations were beginning to get back underway as travel restrictions were lifted.</p>
<p>Then November arrived bringing with it the Omicron variant. Lockdowns, travel restrictions, supply chain issues and reductions in bellyhold and freighter capacity on major trade lanes ensued.</p>
<p>Adding to those challenges, the start of the year also sees the industry having to contend with the two-week Chinese New Year holiday, which typically sees a surge of cargo ahead of factory closures, and this year the Beijing Winter Olympics is expected to cause further disruption.</p>
<p>With the year off to a challenging start, <em>Air Cargo News</em> caught up with a cross section of the industry to find out their expectations for the remainder of 2022.</p>
<p>DSV vice president and head of the DSV Air Charter Network, Mads Ravn, tells <em>Air Cargo News</em> he expects a roller-coaster market with Covid continuing to disrupt supply chains, while bellyhold operations will be slow to return.</p>
<p>“Demand will remain strong in every sector and, as the year has already proven, Covid will continue to play a major role in whether capacity will return,” Ravn says.</p>
<p>“Especially on key routes from China and Hong Kong – where they continue to have some of the most severe restrictions – we need some sort of consistency throughout the year.”</p>
<p>He adds: “Belly carriers are trying to piece a programme together with multiple new seasonal destinations that will not necessarily benefit the lack of capacity in the market to and from core manufacturing sites.”</p>
<p>DSV believes that the return of belly capacity to pre-crisis levels is being pushed further out.</p>
<p>“The initial anticipation of 2025 is likely not happening and destinations serviced will change as business travel is very slow to come back,” he says.</p>
<p>“Therefore, we are focusing on maintaining and developing our own DSV Air Charter Network so we can continue to provide as much reliable and flexible capacity as possible for our customers.”</p>
<p>Ravn says handling operations are also likely to come under pressure this year.</p>
<p>“To secure enough people on the ground is perhaps the most severe challenge in several gateways in North America and Europe,” he says.</p>
<p>“This, combined with outdated US infrastructure and lack of staff returning to work, will also influence and slow down recovery.”</p>
<p>Scan Global Logistics (SGL) says it expects the unpredictability of 2021 to continue into this year.</p>
<p>“We expect the market to be pretty much the same as in 2021; travel-restrictions, no clarity about Omicron and potentially other [variants] to follow, and no, or only limited, additional freighter-aircraft to be supplied to the market.</p>
<p>“This will keep constant pressure on the capacities and rates. [Covid] test kits, ocean challenges, airport/ground handling issues etc will remain, leading to increasing charges.”</p>
<p>Looking at seasonal trends, SGL says that the first quarter will remain challenging with rates elevated, the second quarter and early on in the third quarter may see an easing of the situation before the peak season ramps up in mid-September.</p>
<p>On the return of bellyhold capacity, SGL’s global head of airfreight, David Wystrach, says: “Mid-term on this side of the summer, travel restrictions and uncertainty will continue to limit leisure travel.</p>
<p>“Business travellers will not be back to anywhere close to pre-Covid-times. This will limit number of flights and served port pairs.</p>
<p>“Some routes added to the network may be less cargo friendly, e.g. leisure destinations on transatlantic routes.</p>
<p>“On top of this, the current Omicron [variant] will as well impact crews and pilots and with this further reductions on rotations are to be expected.”</p>
<p>Wystrach is also expecting ongoing labour issues across the market to affect ground handlers, forwarders, airlines and trucking companies.</p>
<p>Hervé Bonis, deputy chief executive, Seafrigo Group, says Omicron and seafreight issues will drive demand in the air: “The overall global environment remains uncertain in the first quarter of 2022 due to the high circulation of the Omicron variant of Covid-19 in most western countries.</p>
<p>“This is already impacting on airfreight capacity, especially regarding the China/Hong Kong trade lanes where stringent rules for pilots are in place.”</p>
<p>He adds: “The biggest challenge is definitely to get back to normal regarding intercontinental travel, which then brings back the belly capacity that is not currently available in the market. I expect belly capacity to increase during second half of 2022.</p>
<p>“Regarding our overall volumes, I consider that we will still face seafreight disorganisation, including port congestion, and this will bring opportunity in terms of airfreight volumes.”</p>
<div class="wp-caption alignnone">
<p><a href="https://www.aircargonews.net/airlines/outlook-2022-another-challenging-year-for-air-cargo/attachment/herve-bonis-seafrigo/" rel="attachment wp-att-1045825 noopener" target="_blank"><img fetchpriority="high" decoding="async" class="wp-image-1045825" src="https://www.aircargonews.net/wp-content/uploads/2022/01/Herve-Bonis-Seafrigo.jpg" alt="" width="492" height="415" aria-describedby="caption-attachment-1045825" /></a></p>
<p class="wp-caption-text">Herve Bonis, Seafrigo. Source: Seafrigo</p>
</div>
<p>Crane Worldwide Logistics chief executive Keith Winters is another expecting labour issues to affect the market.</p>
<p>“There is no question that we are still expecting some turbulent times ahead,” Winters says.</p>
<p>“Currently, with the resurgence of Covid, new vaccine boosters need to be moved and there is still the possibility of borders closing as countries cope with the influx in cases.</p>
<p>“With blank sailings and the Lunar New Year ahead, it’s expected that the first quarter will create more demand which will continue to add pressure in terms of cost.”</p>
<p>On the return of belly capacity, Winters says this is highly dependent on borders opening up.</p>
<div class="wp-caption alignnone">
<p><a href="https://www.aircargonews.net/airlines/outlook-2022-another-challenging-year-for-air-cargo/attachment/keith-winters-crane-worldwide-logistics-2/" rel="attachment wp-att-1045827 noopener" target="_blank"><img decoding="async" class="wp-image-1045827" src="https://www.aircargonews.net/wp-content/uploads/2022/01/Keith-Winters-Crane-Worldwide-Logistics-2.jpg" alt="" width="506" height="376" aria-describedby="caption-attachment-1045827" /></a></p>
<p class="wp-caption-text">Keith Winters , Crane Worldwide Logistics. Source: Crane WWL</p>
</div>
<p>“We can be hopeful that the new variant will see the end of the pandemic, but there are still so many unknowns,” he says.</p>
<p>“With new aircraft being lined up for charter flights, there will be options, but for now I think we need to look further afield than 2022 to return to what we consider ‘normal’ bellyhold capacity.”</p>
<p>Airlines are also expecting demand to be tight over the coming year.</p>
<p>Roger Samways, vice president commercial, American Airlines Cargo, says that despite some return of passenger flights, indicators suggest that demand improvements and congestion in other modes will contribute to capacity shortages in air.</p>
<p>“Continued capacity shortages in the market, relative to demand, as well as infrastructure challenges at airports, will present ongoing challenges for the air cargo industry,” says Samways.</p>
<p>“We have faced capacity shortages since the start of the pandemic, but we’ve seen innovative, creative solutions across the industry as carriers have tried to support the needs of our customers.”</p>
<p>Samways adds that belly capacity will improve in 2022 compared with last year but won’t get back to 2019 levels due to changing government travel restrictions and possible future Covid-19 outbreaks.</p>
<p>“Our current expectations are that widebody capacity will grow around 20% compared to 2021. The key for our cargo customers, though, is where that capacity is going to be deployed.</p>
<p>“Unlike in 2021 when many of our widebody aircraft were operating on short-haul leisure markets, such as the Caribbean and Mexico, in 2022 our widebody fleet will primarily be deployed on long-haul international markets which is great news for our cargo customers.”</p>
<p><strong>Charter outlook</strong></p>
<p>Charter brokers are also bracing for another busy year. Dan Morgan-Evans, group cargo director at Air Charter Service (ACS), says the disruption experienced over the last couple of years has been too great to unwind completely during 2022.</p>
<div class="wp-caption alignnone">
<p><a href="https://www.aircargonews.net/people/interviews/charter-sector-expected-to-be-busy-over-coming-months/attachment/dan-speaking-at-aca-2/" rel="attachment wp-att-1031507 noopener" target="_blank"><img decoding="async" class="wp-image-1031507" src="https://www.aircargonews.net/wp-content/uploads/2020/05/Dan-speaking-at-ACA.jpg" alt="Dan Morgan-Evans, Air Charter Service" width="495" height="375" aria-describedby="caption-attachment-1031507" /></a></p>
<p class="wp-caption-text">Dan Morgan-Evans, Air Charter Service. Source: ACS</p>
</div>
<p>“The longer time goes on, the more balanced it will become but we are still seeing very strong demand in the short term and long term, with a record number of forward bookings even into 2023,” he says.</p>
<p>“The whole supply chain has changed over the past two years and, unless we suddenly revert to pre-pandemic passenger numbers and all travel restrictions are lifted, then we will continue to see strong demand.”</p>
<p>He says that ACS was previously used to seeing single ad hoc flight bookings with the occasional programme for multiple flights. Now, the company is seeing bookings that are predominantly programmes.</p>
<p>“The challenges will be similar,” he adds. “Covid restrictions, lack of capacity, bottlenecks at airports – but these are all the benefits of using a company like ACS.</p>
<p>“The marketplace is complicated. Whether that’s the aforementioned, or people out there trying to take advantage with phantom aircraft and fictitious contracts.”</p>
<p>Neil Dursley, Chapman Freeborn chief commercial officer, cargo, says the continued impact of Covid-19 shows little sign of slowing down and there is no return to “business as normal” insight.</p>
<p><strong>“</strong>What we are seeing in the first weeks of this year is ‘more of the same’; a distinct lack of widebody availability and supply chain challenges impacting the major ocean ports of the world with new restrictions due to new Covid outbreaks in strategic ocean ports. This continues to force more and more cargo into the air.”</p>
<p>Dursley adds that there has been a surge in demand for Covid test kits. The broker has just completed “an enormous programme of flights” utilising multiple AN-225 and AN-124 flights, including on Christmas day.</p>
<p>“Never before in our history, or I believe in the history of the AN-225, has it ever operated so many back-to-back missions,” Dursley says.</p>
<p>“The good news for our clients is that pricing on widebodies from Asia to Europe, as well as transpacific routes, has reduced in January vs December, but we anticipate that this will again increase following the Chinese New Year.”</p>
<p>He adds that freighter operator Magma Aviation, a Chapman Freeborn Group subsidiary, continues to operate at full capacity to and from a range of origins.</p>
<p>He says: “Restrictions on crew due to Covid outbreaks in key locations is creating issues but ones which our partners are supporting so that supply chain continuity isn’t impacted.”</p>
<div class="wp-caption alignnone">
<p><a href="https://www.aircargonews.net/people/chapman-freeborn-appoints-neil-dursley-as-chief-commercial-officer/attachment/neil-dursley-leaning-10241/" rel="attachment wp-att-1020266 noopener" target="_blank"><img loading="lazy" decoding="async" class=" wp-image-1020266" src="https://www.aircargonews.net/wp-content/uploads/2019/04/Neil-Dursley-leaning-10241.jpg" alt="" width="489" height="349" aria-describedby="caption-attachment-1020266" /></a></p>
<p class="wp-caption-text">Neil Dursley, Chapman Freeborn. Source: Chapman Freeborn</p>
</div>
<p>Looking at sectors driving demand, Dursley says that the company is heavily involved in humanitarian related movements for vaccines, test kits and emergency supplies.</p>
<p>“Likewise we see increases in automotive, hi-tech and oil &amp; gas related activities.</p>
<p>“We have continued long-term programmes of e-commerce related movements using passenger-cargo aircraft as well as full freighters utilising both group assets and many third-party airline partners.</p>
<p>“So this storm rages on and with it we are expanding rapidly and recruiting currently over 100 full time employees to support our clients as well as opening up multiple new offices around the globe.”</p>
<p><strong>Navigating the challenges ahead</strong></p>
<p>With another year of disruption and unpredictability ahead, what steps are companies taking to try and navigate the challenges that lie ahead?</p>
<p>Crane Worldwide Logistics’ Winters says that close collaboration, information sharing and flexibility are key to managing the current market conditions.</p>
<p>“It takes all key members of the supply chain to work closely with clients, manage expectations and find solutions that will work in the long term.</p>
<p>“Supply chains are being reassessed by many organisations and are also at the top of priority lists in 2022.</p>
<p>“There is evidence that companies are reverting to nearshoring, alternative routings, transportation switches etc.</p>
<p>“We believe that working together closely with our clients, we can bring the expertise needed to provide solutions, not only the urgent situations, but also in the long term.”</p>
<p>He says these solutions could be additional charter capacity, extra 3PL warehousing or alternative methods of transportation such as rail freight.</p>
<p>Ravn of DSV says that forwarders will need to invest in their own controlled capacity to add some consistency and longevity for customers that commit to capacity and rates.</p>
<p>“Most air carriers have become transactional during last year and there is an intense battle to secure the best commitments in the market,” he says.</p>
<p>“It puts clients, who have been consistent supporters on particular lanes, in a very [difficult] situation, hence they are turning to forwarders like DSV with own controlled charters to leverage their spend, which is often connected to other parts of the supply chain.”</p>
<div class="wp-caption alignnone">
<p><a href="https://www.aircargonews.net/freight-forwarder/dsv-panalpina-extends-cargo-charter-network-as-it-prepares-for-peak-of-peaks/attachment/mads-ravn-source-dsv-panalpina/" rel="attachment wp-att-1042531 noopener" target="_blank"><img loading="lazy" decoding="async" class=" wp-image-1042531" src="https://www.aircargonews.net/wp-content/uploads/2021/09/Mads-Ravn-Source-DSV-Panalpina.jpg" alt="" width="509" height="339" aria-describedby="caption-attachment-1042531" /></a></p>
<p class="wp-caption-text">Mads Ravn. Source: DSV</p>
</div>
<p>From an airline perspective, Samways of American says that the airline has learnt to expect the unexpected.</p>
<p>He agrees that collaboration across the supply chain is key to managing the situation.</p>
<p>Samways says: “From an industry perspective, increased investment and closer working relationships with industry partners will be important in helping to ensure that we are able to operate efficiently and accommodate as much cargo is possible.”</p>
<p>He adds: “For American, that has included working with our network planning team to help ensure the rebuilding of our widebody network meets both PAX and cargo needs and looking at how we can best utilise our existing narrowbody and trucking networks to help bridge routes and create more options for customers.”</p>
<p>He adds that the airline has already made plans for nearly all its widebody fleet to be dedicated to long-haul international routes, which is ideal for the cargo division.</p>
<p>The company is also poised to take delivery of more than 40 Boeing 787 aircraft over the next few years, which Samways says will help to support further capacity growth across American’s network.</p>
<div class="wp-caption alignnone">
<p><a href="https://www.aircargonews.net/airlines/outlook-2022-another-challenging-year-for-air-cargo/attachment/roger-samways/" rel="attachment wp-att-1045828 noopener" target="_blank"><img loading="lazy" decoding="async" class=" wp-image-1045828" src="https://www.aircargonews.net/wp-content/uploads/2022/01/Roger-Samways.jpg" alt="" width="504" height="336" aria-describedby="caption-attachment-1045828" /></a></p>
<p class="wp-caption-text">Roger Samways, American Airlines. Source: American Airlines</p>
</div>
<p>Wystrach of SGL says that it is important that forwarders remain very proactive and that customers keep a high focus on their approach to planning.</p>
<p>“Keeping up with constant schedule changes, impact of airport/port congestions etc., will require an ongoing agility and solution-driven attitude,” he says.</p>
<p>“This will continuously require flexibility for forwarders and customers in regards to pricing, transit times and routing opportunities.</p>
<p>“Constant proactive communication, including offering multiple solutions enabling our customers to make a conscious decision on how to balance cost and supply chain risk, is and will remain a key priority for us.”</p>
<p>Source: www.aircargonews.com</p>
<p>Image: www.pixibay.com</p>
<p>The post <a rel="nofollow" href="https://cargonewstoday.com/outlook-2022-another-challenging-year-for-air-cargo/">Outlook 2022: Another challenging year for air cargo</a> appeared first on <a rel="nofollow" href="https://cargonewstoday.com">Cargo News Today</a>.</p>
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		<title>How a Russian-Ukraine Conflict Might Hit Global Markets</title>
		<link>https://cargonewstoday.com/how-a-russian-ukraine-conflict-might-hit-global-markets/</link>
		
		<dc:creator><![CDATA[admin]]></dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Thu, 27 Jan 2022 08:03:03 +0000</pubDate>
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		<category><![CDATA[invasion of Ukraine]]></category>
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		<guid isPermaLink="false">https://cargoworldtoday.com/?p=23959</guid>

					<description><![CDATA[<p>A potential invasion of Ukraine by neighboring Russia would be felt across a number of markets, from wheat and energy prices and the region&#8217;s sovereign dollar bonds to safe have&#8230;</p>
<p>The post <a rel="nofollow" href="https://cargonewstoday.com/how-a-russian-ukraine-conflict-might-hit-global-markets/">How a Russian-Ukraine Conflict Might Hit Global Markets</a> appeared first on <a rel="nofollow" href="https://cargonewstoday.com">Cargo News Today</a>.</p>
]]></description>
										<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>A potential invasion of Ukraine by neighboring Russia would be felt across a number of markets, from wheat and energy prices and the region&#8217;s sovereign dollar bonds to safe have assets.</p>
<p>Below are four charts showing where a potential escalation of tensions could be felt across global markets:</p>
<p><strong>Safe havens</strong><br />
Inflation at multi-decade highs and impending interest rate rises have made for a bad month for bond markets, but an outright Russia-Ukraine conflict could change that.</p>
<p>Two-year U.S. Treasury yields have seen the biggest monthly jump since 2016 and 10-year rates appeared headed for the key 2% level. In Germany, 10-year yields rose above 0% for the first time since 2019.</p>
<p>A major risk event usually sees investors rushing back to bonds, which represent the safest assets on planet and this time may not be different, even if a Russian invasion of Ukraine risks further fanning oil prices &#8212; and therefore inflation.</p>
<p>&#8220;Clearly if the Ukraine story was to go wrong there would be quite a significant bid for Treasuries, and this notion of the 10-year getting to 2% would be put on hold,&#8221; said Padhraic Garvey, regional head of research, Americas at ING.</p>
<p>Other safe-havens include gold, already at two-month peaks as well as the yen.</p>
<p><strong>Grains and wheat</strong><br />
Any interruption to the flow of grain out of the Black Sea region is likely to have a major impact on prices and add further fuel to food inflation at a time when its affordability is a major concern across the globe following the economic damage caused by the COVID-19 pandemic.</p>
<p>Four major exporters &#8211; Ukraine, Russia, Kazakhstan and Romania &#8211; ship grain from ports in the Black Sea which could face disruptions from any military action or sanctions.</p>
<p>Ukraine is projected to be the world&#8217;s third largest exporter of corn in the 2021/22 season and fourth largest exporter of wheat, according to International Grains Council data. Russia is the world&#8217;s top wheat exporter.</p>
<p>&#8220;Geopolitical risks have risen in recent months in the Black Sea region, which could influence wheat prices ahead,&#8221; said Dominic Schnider, strategist at UBS.</p>
<p><strong>Natural gas and oil</strong><br />
Energy markets are likely to be hit if tensions turn into conflict. Europe relies on Russia for around 35% of its natural gas, mostly coming through pipelines which cross Belarus and Poland to Germany, Nord Stream 1 going directly to Germany, and others through Ukraine.</p>
<p>In 2020 volumes of gas from Russia to Europe fell after lockdowns suppressed demand and did not recover fully last year when consumption surged, helping to send prices to record highs.</p>
<p>As part of possible sanctions in the case Russia invaded Ukraine, Germany has said it could halt https://www.reuters.com/world/europe/germany-signals-it-could-halt-gas-pipeline-if-russia-invades-ukraine-2022-01-18 the new Nord Stream 2 gas pipeline from Russia that was expected to increase gas imports to the bloc but also underlines Europe&#8217;s energy dependence on Moscow.</p>
<p>SEB commodities analyst Bjarne Schieldrop said markets would see natural gas exports from Russia to Western Europe likely significantly reduced both through Ukraine and Belarus in the event of sanctions and gas prices revisit Q4 levels.</p>
<p>Oil markets could also be affected. JPMorgan said the tensions risked a &#8220;material spike&#8221; in oil prices and noted that a rise to $150 a barrel would reduce global GDP growth to just 0.9% annualized in the first half of the year, while more than doubling inflation to 7.2%.</p>
<p><strong>Regional dollar bonds and currencies</strong><br />
Russian and Ukrainian assets will be at the forefront of any markets fallout from potential military action.</p>
<p>Both countries&#8217; dollar bonds have underperformed their peers in recent months as investors trimmed exposure amid escalating tensions between Washington and its allies and Moscow.</p>
<p>Ukraine&#8217;s fixed income markets are chiefly the remit of emerging market investors, while Russia&#8217;s overall standing on capital markets has shrunk in recent years amid sanctions and geopolitical tensions, somewhat cushioning any threat of contagion through those channels.</p>
<p>However, Russia&#8217;s rouble and Ukraine&#8217;s hryvnia have also suffered, making them the worst performing currencies in the emerging markets universe so far this year.</p>
<p>Geopolitics on the Ukraine-Russian border presented &#8220;substantial uncertainties&#8221; to foreign currency markets, said Chris Turner, global head of markets at ING.</p>
<p>&#8220;The events of late 2014 remind us of the liquidity gaps and U.S. dollar hoarding that led to a substantial drop in the rouble at that time,&#8221; said Turner.</p>
<p><em>(Reporting by Karin Strohecker, Sujata Rao, Nigel Hunt and Susanna Twidale; Writing by Karin Strohecker; Editing by Alison Williams)</em></p>
<p>Source: www.marinelink.com</p>
<p>Image: www.pixabay.com</p>
<p>The post <a rel="nofollow" href="https://cargonewstoday.com/how-a-russian-ukraine-conflict-might-hit-global-markets/">How a Russian-Ukraine Conflict Might Hit Global Markets</a> appeared first on <a rel="nofollow" href="https://cargonewstoday.com">Cargo News Today</a>.</p>
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		<title>More Shuttle Tankers Needed, Rystad Says</title>
		<link>https://cargonewstoday.com/more-shuttle-tankers-needed-rystad-says/</link>
		
		<dc:creator><![CDATA[admin]]></dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Fri, 21 Jan 2022 11:41:29 +0000</pubDate>
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		<guid isPermaLink="false">https://cargoworldtoday.com/?p=23301</guid>

					<description><![CDATA[<p>More shuttle tankers will be needed in the years ahead to keep pace with a projected rise in oil volumes needing transport, Rystad Energy said. Produced volumes requiring transport key&#8230;</p>
<p>The post <a rel="nofollow" href="https://cargonewstoday.com/more-shuttle-tankers-needed-rystad-says/">More Shuttle Tankers Needed, Rystad Says</a> appeared first on <a rel="nofollow" href="https://cargonewstoday.com">Cargo News Today</a>.</p>
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										<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>More shuttle tankers will be needed in the years ahead to keep pace with a projected rise in oil volumes needing transport, Rystad Energy said.</p>
<p>Produced volumes requiring transport key shuttle tanker markets Brazil, Canada, Norway, the U.K. and Russia are expected to rise to 3.3 billion barrels per year before the end of the decade, jumping 35% from 2.5 billion in 2021, according to a recent report from the Norwegian analyst group.</p>
<p>Apart from minor dips in total utilization across these countries in 2018 and 2021, shuttle tanker activity has increased year-on-year since 2013 and is set to grow further by a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 3.5% between 2021 and 2030.</p>
<p>“There is a need for a new influx of shuttle tankers to meet the increasing demand and replace some of the ageing capacity that will be taken out of service,” said Oddmund Føre, senior vice president of energy service research with Rystad Energy. “Crude oil extraction will continue for many years to come and, given the robust economics and competitiveness of the offshore industry, new investments in offshore production are likely to continue building, ensuring a bright future lies ahead for the shuttle tanker industry.”</p>
<p><span class="fr-img-caption fr-fic fr-dib"><span class="fr-img-wrap"><img decoding="async" src="https://imagesedit.marinelink.com/images/storage/w800h422/20220107-shuttle-tanker-market-pr.jpg" /><span class="fr-inner"><em>(Image: Rystad Energy)</em></span></span></span></p>
<p>Shuttle tankers, typically used in locations where subsea pipelines are unviable, are crucial for moving liquids from wells to refineries and terminals. The North Sea was once the pioneer region and largest market for shuttle tankers due to its harsh environmental conditions and fragmented field structure, but the concept has been exported to other offshore areas with great success. Brazil is now the largest market for shuttle tankers due to its ultra-deep-water oilfields and will account for more than half the shuttle market demand from 2026.</p>
<p>The surge in offshore production in Brazil has seen a significant rise in the utilization of shuttle tankers, with activity soaring by 55% from 695 million barrels for 2013 to 1.07 billion in 2021, according to Rystad, which forecasts a further 72% increase by the end of 2030 when total volumes handled by shuttle tankers in the country will hit 1.84 billion barrels.</p>
<p>Despite being surpassed by Brazil, Norway and the U.K. remain significant players in the shuttle tanker market. Norwegian shuttle tankers handled 763 million barrels in 2021, while counterparts in the U.K. handled 312 million. In comparison, Canadian shuttle tankers transported just 96 million barrels, and Russian shuttle tankers moved 213 million. However, the Russian market is set to experience steady declines over the next few years, falling by almost half to 122 million barrels by 2030.</p>
<p><strong>Tracking the vessels<br />
</strong>With nearly 100 vessels now in operation and a handful on order, the shuttle tanker market remains one of the smallest and most surveyable shipping market segments. Despite its small size, there are significant variations and differences across regional shuttle tanker markets. The North Sea and the Norwegian side of the Barents Sea have around 25 shuttle tankers in operation and comprise 25% of the global market. Although the North Sea market provides more diversification than other markets, Equinor and state-owned Petoro are responsible for over 35% of the volumes shuttled off oilfields.</p>
<p>The high standards and operational knowledge in the North Sea have helped other regions adopt the same infrastructure. Brazil is now the largest market with 40 vessels and three times the production of the North Sea. Unlike in the North Sea, however, Brazilian field operators have developed their form of regulation without authorities playing an active role. Knutsen NYK Offshore Tankers (KNOT) and Altera Infrastructure are two of the main shuttle tanker owners operating in Brazil with decades of experience operating vessels in the North Sea, helping create continuity and efficient operations in Brazil’s deep waters. The Brazilian market is less diversified, with Petrobras handling 70% of offshore shuttle tanker production with vessels that are either chartered by the Brazilian state giant itself or international operators. While international companies must leave Brazil every 90th day to meet local content regulations, Petrobras can operate more efficiently with significantly more trips per vessel than its in<br />
ternational competitors.</p>
<p>In Russia, the shuttle tanker market is the same size as the North Sea but is divided into the Arctic Russia and Far East Russia markets. The former is focused on shuttling from Arctic oilfields to Murmansk, with the latter shuttling crude and condensate from the Sakhalin fields to the Asian market. Due to the relatively light-weight class of Russian shuttle tankers and the fact that they are ice-classed, there tends to be a higher vessel intensity per barrel produced in the region than in other markets.</p>
<p><strong>Looking ahead<br />
</strong>Rystad expects the North Sea will be a crucial driver for increased activity as a new investment spree follows the Norwegian government’s tax regime, introduced in mid-2020, which is aimed at incentivizing sanctioning activity to be filed by the end of 2022. Brazil has also been vocal about its ambitions to become more energy independent, with many wells to be drilled by 2030. In addition, Rystad noted a growing number of international players are entering the stage in Brazil with their stake in crude oil production. This trend alone will drive shuttle tanker demand upward as the vessel intensity per barrel produced is higher than local leader Petrobras.</p>
<p>Source: www.marinelink.com</p>
<p>Image: www.pexels.com</p>
<p>The post <a rel="nofollow" href="https://cargonewstoday.com/more-shuttle-tankers-needed-rystad-says/">More Shuttle Tankers Needed, Rystad Says</a> appeared first on <a rel="nofollow" href="https://cargonewstoday.com">Cargo News Today</a>.</p>
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		<title>Dry Bulk: Capesize Rates Hit Lowest in Seven Months</title>
		<link>https://cargonewstoday.com/dry-bulk-capesize-rates-hit-lowest-in-seven-months/</link>
		
		<dc:creator><![CDATA[admin]]></dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Wed, 29 Dec 2021 12:03:49 +0000</pubDate>
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		<guid isPermaLink="false">https://cargoworldtoday.com/?p=21426</guid>

					<description><![CDATA[<p>The Baltic Exchange&#8217;s dry bulk sea freight index declined on Wednesday, pressured by lower rates across the capesize vessel segment, recording its lowest level since June. The overall index, which&#8230;</p>
<p>The post <a rel="nofollow" href="https://cargonewstoday.com/dry-bulk-capesize-rates-hit-lowest-in-seven-months/">Dry Bulk: Capesize Rates Hit Lowest in Seven Months</a> appeared first on <a rel="nofollow" href="https://cargonewstoday.com">Cargo News Today</a>.</p>
]]></description>
										<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>The Baltic Exchange&#8217;s dry bulk sea freight index declined on Wednesday, pressured by lower rates across the capesize vessel segment, recording its lowest level since June.</p>
<p>The overall index, which factors in rates for capesize, panamax and supramax vessels, lost 65 points, or 2.8%, to 2,229, its lowest since April 14</p>
<p>Rates for the vessels have further eroded into the current week ahead of the holidays, shipbroker Intermodal said in a weekly note dated Tuesday.</p>
<p>The capesize index fell 208 points, or 7.8%, to its lowest since June 8 at 2,455.</p>
<p>Average daily earnings for capesizes, which transport 150,000-tonne cargoes such as iron ore and coal, decreased by $1,725 to $20,363.</p>
<p>Benchmark Dalian and Singapore iron ore futures fell as concerns over COVID-19 curbs in China and the approaching off-season for construction activity in the world&#8217;s biggest steel producer soured sentiment.</p>
<p>The panamax index added 73 points, or 3.2%, to 2,384, ending a 10-session losing streak.</p>
<p>Average daily earnings for panamaxes, which carry 60,000-70,000 tonne coal or grain cargoes, increased by $664 to $21,460.</p>
<p>The supramax index shed 46 points to its lowest in over three weeks at 2,337.</p>
<p>Source: www.marinelink.com</p>
<p>Image: www.pexels.com</p>
<p>The post <a rel="nofollow" href="https://cargonewstoday.com/dry-bulk-capesize-rates-hit-lowest-in-seven-months/">Dry Bulk: Capesize Rates Hit Lowest in Seven Months</a> appeared first on <a rel="nofollow" href="https://cargonewstoday.com">Cargo News Today</a>.</p>
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		<title>White House Lauds Easing of Supply Chain Clogs, Cites Shipping Competition Concerns</title>
		<link>https://cargonewstoday.com/white-house-lauds-easing-of-supply-chain-clogs-cites-shipping-competition-concerns/</link>
		
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		<pubDate>Sun, 21 Nov 2021 19:05:15 +0000</pubDate>
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		<guid isPermaLink="false">https://cargoworldtoday.com/?p=18547</guid>

					<description><![CDATA[<p>The White House on Wednesday lauded improvements in clogged U.S. supply chains, with more goods moving than ever before, but said more work was needed to ensure fair competition in&#8230;</p>
<p>The post <a rel="nofollow" href="https://cargonewstoday.com/white-house-lauds-easing-of-supply-chain-clogs-cites-shipping-competition-concerns/">White House Lauds Easing of Supply Chain Clogs, Cites Shipping Competition Concerns</a> appeared first on <a rel="nofollow" href="https://cargonewstoday.com">Cargo News Today</a>.</p>
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										<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>The White House on Wednesday lauded improvements in clogged U.S. supply chains, with more goods moving than ever before, but said more work was needed to ensure fair competition in a global shipping sector dominated by three alliances of ocean carriers.</p>
<p>In a new blog, the White House National Economic Council said the Federal Maritime Commission (FMC), an independent agency, was already investigating excessive shipping fees, but should consider using other tools, including challenging carrier alliances if they resulted in unreasonable costs or delays.</p>
<p>It also urged Congress to enact reforms to give the FMC more tools to oversee the global shipping sector, including boosting transparency about fees carriers charge their customers.</p>
<p>President Joe Biden and his administration are racing to address supply chain snarls that emerged in the wake of stronger-than-expected recovery from the COVID-19 pandemic, fueling product shortages and inflation.</p>
<p>Much of the focus has been on U.S. ports, which have been inundated with cargo as a result of seismic shift in consumer spending during the pandemic, from travel and dining to physical goods.</p>
<p>The pandemic also reduced the number of workers needed to keep goods flowing smoothly. Aging truckers retired early, while infection control measures have limited dock and warehouse staffing.</p>
<p>The White House said new data showed continued improvements, with a record number of containers imported at the ports of Los Angeles and Long Beach, California, from January to October, retail inventories up 4% from 2020, and on-the-shelf availability at 90%, just 1% below levels seen before the pandemic.</p>
<p>&#8220;The good news is that we&#8217;re moving more goods than ever before, we&#8217;re seeing that retail is fully stocked, and we&#8217;re seeing that the ports are moving these goods more quickly,&#8221; a senior White House official said. &#8220;That means it&#8217;s going to be a normal holiday season for Americans.&#8221;</p>
<p>At the same time, the White House said more work was needed to improve exports out of U.S. ports, with rising shipping costs making it more profitable for carriers to load empty containers instead of waiting for loaded containers to get to ports.</p>
<p>&#8220;The problem &#8230; raises questions about the fair treatment of American exporters and importers in the shipping industry,&#8221; it said, noting that nine carriers organized in three alliances now controlled 80% of global shipping, up from just 29% in 2011.</p>
<p>The alliances are legally immune from antitrust laws, but the FMC can challenge them if they result in unreasonable delays, unreasonable increase in transportation costs or &#8220;substantially lessen competition,&#8221; the White House said.</p>
<p>It said the U.S. Justice Department stood ready to help the FMC, adding that the agency needs a bigger budget than its current $30 million.</p>
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<p>Source: www.marinelink.com</p>
<p>Image: www.pexel.com</p>
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<p>The post <a rel="nofollow" href="https://cargonewstoday.com/white-house-lauds-easing-of-supply-chain-clogs-cites-shipping-competition-concerns/">White House Lauds Easing of Supply Chain Clogs, Cites Shipping Competition Concerns</a> appeared first on <a rel="nofollow" href="https://cargonewstoday.com">Cargo News Today</a>.</p>
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		<title>Efficiency optimisation tool</title>
		<link>https://cargonewstoday.com/efficiency-optimisation-tool/</link>
		
		<dc:creator><![CDATA[admin]]></dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Sun, 29 Aug 2021 18:23:56 +0000</pubDate>
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		<guid isPermaLink="false">https://cargoworldtoday.com/?p=16012</guid>

					<description><![CDATA[<p>Vessel Performance Solutions’ Vesper efficiency optimisation tool is now available on Kongsberg Digital’s Kognifai Marketplace. Vesper is a tool developed by Vessel Performance Solutions (VPS) for optimizing operational efficiency through&#8230;</p>
<p>The post <a rel="nofollow" href="https://cargonewstoday.com/efficiency-optimisation-tool/">Efficiency optimisation tool</a> appeared first on <a rel="nofollow" href="https://cargonewstoday.com">Cargo News Today</a>.</p>
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										<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Vessel Performance Solutions’ Vesper efficiency optimisation tool is now available on Kongsberg Digital’s Kognifai Marketplace.</p>
<p>Vesper is a tool developed by Vessel Performance Solutions (VPS) for optimizing operational efficiency through advanced modelling and analytics. Vesper supports current environmental reporting such as IMO DCS and EU MRV, and will cover also future regulatory requirements including calculation, monitoring and trending of the CII.</p>
<p>Vesper’s features include efficient monitoring of large fleets, establishing a framework for continuous optimization in both the long- and short-term. Vessel performance indicators can be merged into a single performance indicator for the entire fleet whilst retaining the ability to drill down to individual vessels, enabling organizations to follow optimization progress at any level: vessel, segment or fleet. An example of how this can benefit shipowners and charterers is by enabling them to predict performance and fuel oil consumption so precisely that vessels can be chartered out on more accurate terms. It is claimed that this can deliver an increase in profit margins of up to 10%.</p>
<p>Source: www.maritimejournal.com</p>
<p>Image: www.pexels.com</p>
<p>The post <a rel="nofollow" href="https://cargonewstoday.com/efficiency-optimisation-tool/">Efficiency optimisation tool</a> appeared first on <a rel="nofollow" href="https://cargonewstoday.com">Cargo News Today</a>.</p>
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		<title>South Korea container ports report Q1 volumes up</title>
		<link>https://cargonewstoday.com/south-korea-container-ports-report-q1-volumes-up/</link>
		
		<dc:creator><![CDATA[admin]]></dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Fri, 21 May 2021 13:55:22 +0000</pubDate>
				<category><![CDATA[Cargo]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[container]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Economic]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[global trade]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[seaport]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[South Korea]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[trade]]></category>
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					<description><![CDATA[<p>The volume of container cargo processed at South Korea’s seaports rose 1.3 percent on-year in the first quarter of 2021, according to the country’s Ministry of Oceans. Container cargo processed&#8230;</p>
<p>The post <a rel="nofollow" href="https://cargonewstoday.com/south-korea-container-ports-report-q1-volumes-up/">South Korea container ports report Q1 volumes up</a> appeared first on <a rel="nofollow" href="https://cargonewstoday.com">Cargo News Today</a>.</p>
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										<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p><strong>The volume of container cargo processed at South Korea’s seaports rose 1.3 percent on-year in the first quarter of 2021,</strong> <strong>according to the country’s Ministry of Oceans.</strong></p>
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<p>Container cargo processed at the seaports reached 7.29 million twenty-foot-equivalent units (TEUs) in the January-March period, rising from the previous year’s 7.19 TEUs.</p>
<p>Processed export-import cargo jumped 4.5 percent on-year to reach 4.24 million TEUs in the first quarter, the increase was attributed to the growth in trade with China and Canada.</p>
<p>South Korea said it expects the amount of container cargo processed at seaports to continue to rise down the road in line with the global vaccine inoculation program, coupled with economic stimulus measures by major economies.</p>
<p>Image from <a href="http://www.pexels.com" target="_blank" rel="noopener">www.pexels.com</a></p>
<p>The post <a href="https://www.globalcargoinsight.com/south-korea-container-port-volumes-up-1-3-in-q1-rose-1-3" rel="nofollow noopener" target="_blank">South Korea container ports report Q1 volumes up</a> appeared first on <a href="https://www.globalcargoinsight.com/" rel="nofollow noopener" target="_blank">Global Cargo Insight</a>.</p>
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		<title>Economic Stabilization or Destabilization of Countries?</title>
		<link>https://cargonewstoday.com/economic-stabilization-or-destabilization-of-countries-2/</link>
		
		<dc:creator><![CDATA[Rolands Petersons]]></dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Thu, 13 May 2021 07:29:16 +0000</pubDate>
				<category><![CDATA[Cargo]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Economic]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Global Economy]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Rolands Petersons]]></category>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">https://cargoworldtoday.com/?p=14706</guid>

					<description><![CDATA[<p>The post <a rel="nofollow" href="https://cargonewstoday.com/economic-stabilization-or-destabilization-of-countries-2/">Economic Stabilization or Destabilization of Countries?</a> appeared first on <a rel="nofollow" href="https://cargonewstoday.com">Cargo News Today</a>.</p>
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			<p>Having performed small study on the information provided in the public space in relation to the global economy after yet another postponed “Brexit” transaction, I can draw a conclusion that the economic recession of some countries still moderately continues, while some countries have stable positions in the financial markets.</p>
<p>The economists have forecasted that in 2020 the decrease of the growth rate of the United Kingdom gross domestic product (GDP) down to 1%. It is clear that the global <a href="https://www.theguardian.com/business/2019/nov/21/tories-no-deal-brexit-plans-damage-uk-economy-oecd-eu" target="_blank" rel="noopener">economic</a> recession will creep up suddenly, if “Brexit” takes place without any agreement. It is also anticipated that Great Britain will be the most affected by global financial risks; it is hoped for the country to be sufficiently prepared for such situation now.</p>
<p>The trade war between the Unites States of America (USA) and China is still at the level of power games. At present it is observed, however, that the <a href="https://www2.deloitte.com/us/en/insights/economy/global-economic-outlook/weekly-update.html" target="_blank" rel="noopener">positions</a> of China have weakened lately. The Chinese government forecasts that the growth of the country in 2020 will be less than 6.0%.</p>
<p>The most significant growth in the European Union has been observed in Central European countries, for example, in Poland. Almost as significant as the growth in Poland, it have been also in Belgium and in the Netherlands; while in the rest of the countries certain economic recession has been experienced.</p>
<p>Germany, the greatest economy of the euro area, is close to the recession. Its economic recession might also affect all neighbours. The European Central Bank has already lowered interest <a href="https://www.bbc.com/news/business-50213411" target="_blank" rel="noopener">rates</a>; however, the economists still have doubts, whether the measures taken would provide the desirable result.</p>
<p>The growth rates of Germany are almost the worst since 2013. On the one hand, the labour market is tensed with a very low level of unemployment, and the consumers’ expenditure has a stable increase. On the other hand, alongside with the decrease of production volume, the industry faces recession. Although Olaf Scholz, the minister for finance of Germany, <a href="https://www2.deloitte.com/us/en/insights/economy/global-economic-outlook/weekly-update.html" target="_blank" rel="noopener">states</a> that Germany has no crisis, and the next year even growth could be expected, it should be pointed out that the uncertainty with regard to the transaction with the USA and the United Kingdom causes consequences.</p>
<p>The economic stability of the USA is destroyed also by rapid decline of automobile manufacturing. The output of automobiles from September till October has decreased by 7.2% in comparison to the year before &#8211; by 11.9%. But the investors are longing for stability and certainty in relation to the future economic policy.</p>
<p>It seems that India has a wait-and-see policy in all the economic theatre, and it scrupulously protects its positions from the observer’s angle, while reforms introduced by France already give the first results regarding the stabilization of economy, Germany fights to keep its positions; however, it should be pointed out that not all available resources have been used.</p>
<p>The labour market reforms of France bring positive tendency, which is related to the permanent increase of the growth rate of employment. The <a href="https://www2.deloitte.com/us/en/insights/economy/global-economic-outlook/weekly-update.html" target="_blank" rel="noopener">employment</a> in France in the third quarter increased by 0.3% in comparison to the preceding quarter. Meanwhile, the industrial manufacturing continues to grow, even when neighbouring Germany faces drastic decline. France even could partially benefit from the less impact of global economic recession than it is in the case of Germany.</p>
<p>Mexico still faces the decrease of investment amount in business sectors. Its main problem is export-oriented industry. The investments into machinery and equipment decreased by 9.5%, but in the construction &#8211; by 0.1%, in the housing sector &#8211; by 3.4%. The investment issue partially reflects the problems of the huge automobile industry. The automobile export of Mexico during the first 10 months of the year decreased by 1.7%.</p>
<p>The <a href="https://www2.deloitte.com/us/en/insights/economy/global-economic-outlook/weekly-update.html" target="_blank" rel="noopener">number</a> of the working unemployed in the all euro area has not changed significantly over the last three months. The lowest unemployment levels in the euro area were in Germany – 3.1% and in the Netherlands – 3.5%. The highest indicators were in Greece – 16.9%, Spain – 14.2%, Italy – 9.9% and in France – 8.4%.</p>
<p>The year 2020 might be important for economies of many countries on the whole; however, there should be evaluated also the complex preparatory work done in each country that have been carried out in conformity with the common measures of countries envisaged for the stabilization of economy.</p>
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